Deutsche Bank sees S&P 500 rising to 8,000 by end of 2026

In this Oct. 7, 2016, file photo a flag for Deutsche Bank flies outside the German bank's New York offices on Wall Street. (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan, File)

Deutsche Bank on Monday projected the S&P 500 to climb to 8,000 by the end of next year, citing strong corporate earnings and artificial intelligence-driven gains, making it the most bullish among major global brokerages.

The European brokerage’s target implies a massive 21% upside to the index’s last close of 6,602.99. It also forecasts S&P 500 earnings-per-share to hit $320.

In a separate note on Monday, Britain’s HSBC set its 2026 year-end target at 7,500, also betting on AI strength.

The benchmark index has gained about 12.3% this year, spurred broadly by investor optimism around AI, robust corporate profits and expectations of falling interest rates, despite fears of a market bubble and high tech valuations.

“Bubble or not – history shows that rallies can last for quite some time (3-5 years in the dot-com/housing boom), so we see more to come and recommend a broadening of the AI trade,” HSBC analysts said.

Mega-cap tech names such as Nvidia, Microsoft and Alphabet remain the main engines of the rally, as AI-driven spending underpins record levels of capital expenditure.

“Rapid AI investment and adoption will continue to dominate market sentiment,” Deutsche Bank strategists said in their 2026 global outlook note.

“We see (U.S.) discretionary investor positioning as a source of potential market upside.”

Earlier this month, Morgan Stanley forecast U.S. stocks to outperform peers next year and estimated the index to hit 7,800 by end of 2026.

(Reporting by Joel Jose and Siddarth S in Bengaluru; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala and Sahal Muhammed)