With a negative trend continuing for the Conservatives, the importance of the budget looms large for the Tories as we get closer to a Fall federal election.

Of note, the slide in perceptions of the Conservatives has been the most dramatic in the Prairies and British Columbia. Also of note, the New Democrats continue to trend upward in the weekly index.

In the overall weekly Nanos Party Power Index, the Liberals continue to score the highest – 57 points out of a possible 100; followed by the New Democrats at 52 points; the Conservatives at 51 points; Green at 35 points and the BQ at 26 points (QC only).

See the latest charts and graphs in our Nanos on the Numbers home page

As you may know, Nanos does internal ballot tracking every week. Based on the four week rolling average, the Liberals are at 34 per cent, the Conservatives at 29 per cent, the NDP at 25 per cent, the Greens at eight per cent and the BQ at four per cent. Please take note of the bonus chart in this specific release. Ballot preferences are part of the Nanos Party Power Index weekly tracking study.



The latest polling numbers suggest the Liberals and the NDP are actually ahead of the Conservatives on the Party Power Index. Why? Our pollster Nik Nanos explains.

Posted by CTV News on Wednesday, April 22, 2015

The Nanos Party Power Index comprises a basket of political goods that includes ballot preferences, accessible voters, preferred PM views and evaluations of the leaders. It is modeled similar to a standard confidence index. It is a random telephone survey conducted with live agents, reaching out to Canadians through a land- and cell-line dual frame sample.

For the weekly preferred Prime Minister measure, Trudeau stands at 31 per cent followed by Harper at 29 per cent, Mulcair at 20 per cent, Elizabeth May at five per cent and 15 per cent were undecided.

Asked a series of independent questions as to whether they would consider or not consider voting for each of the federal parties, 52 per cent of Canadians would consider voting Liberal while 44 per cent would consider voting NDP, 40 per cent would consider voting Conservative and 31 per cent would consider voting for the Greens.