As the final weekend of campaigning winds down before Monday’s federal election, seven in 10 Canadians say it’s time for change, according to a new Nanos Research survey conducted for CTV News and the Globe and Mail -- up four percentage points from a similar poll conducted last month.
Respondents were asked: “Thinking of your vote in the upcoming federal election, would you say that it is time for a change or not time for a change?”
According to the most recent survey of 1,000 Canadians, 71 per cent of respondents answered they would say that “it’s time for change” in the upcoming federal election.
The proportion of Canadians who think it is time for a change on the closing weekend of the election rose from 67 per cent in September.
The appetite for change is stronger among women (76 per cent) compared to men (67 per cent).
The same question, broken down by age group:
- 18 to 29 (n=205) 78.6%
- 30 to 39 (n=169) 67.2%
- 40 to 49 (n=208) 67.7%
- 50 to 59 (n=178) 74.0%
- 60plus (n=239) 68.4%
Other findings in the Nanos survey include:
• Election outcome with most positive impact on economy – Although a minority opinion among Canadians, the top choice for positive impact on the economy was a Liberal majority -- a view that has doubled since July. Twenty-nine per cent of respondents selected a Liberal majority would have “the most positive impact” on the economy, up from 14 per cent in July. Meanwhile, 23 per cent of Canadians said a Conservative majority would be best for the economy – a view that was unchanged since July.
• Trust to manage the economy – When respondents were asked to think of the federal party leaders and choose who they trusted to manage the economy, 31 per cent of Canadians selected Trudeau (up 13 points since July 2015), while 29 per cent chose Harper (down two points since July). And 22 per cent selected Mulcair (down nine points since July).
In answering the question: “For each of the following, please tell me whether their victory in the next federal election will have a positive, somewhat positive, a neutral, and a somewhat negative or negative effect on the strength of the Canadian economy?” respondents reported that:
- Liberals: 59 per cent positive / somewhat positive (compared to 42 per cent in July)
- NDP: 44 per cent positive / somewhat positive (compared to 47 per cent in July)
- Conservatives: 32 per cent positive / somewhat positive (compared to 32 per cent in July)
Survey methodology: Based on a RDD dual-frame (land-and cell-line) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians between October 15th, and 16th, 2015 as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for a survey of 1,000 Canadians is respondents is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Full poll at Nanos Research
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