The Liberals maintain a six-point lead over the Conservatives in the latest nightly tracking by Nanos Research for CTV News and the Globe and Mail.

According to the latest numbers, which were released on Oct. 17:

  • The Liberals are at 37.0 per cent support nationally
  • The Conservatives are at 30.7 per cent support nationally
  • The NDP is at 22.6 per cent support nationally
  • The Green Party is at 4.7 per cent support nationally

Respondents were asked "If a federal election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences?"

Nanos nightly tracking Oct. 17

Nightly tracking by Nanos Research for CTV News and the Globe and Mail, released Oct. 17.

Accessible vote

When asked a series of independent questions about each federal party:

  • 56.0 per cent of Canadians said they would consider voting for the Liberals
  • 41.2 per cent said they would consider the NDP
  • 39.7 per cent said they would consider the Conservatives
  • 22.3 per cent said they would consider the Greens
  • In Quebec, 31.6 per cent said they would consider the Bloc Quebecois

Poll methodology

A national dual frame (land and cell) random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign using live agents. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. An additional 400 interviews were conducted Friday.

The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample composed of 1,600 interviews. To update the tracking, a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,600 respondents is ±2.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Sample Enhancement

Readers should note that on Friday the nightly sample was doubled to 800 live interviews with a three-day rolling average of 1,600 voters (400 on Wednesday, 400 on Thursday and 800 on Friday).

Full poll at Nanos Research

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