With advance polling starting Friday and only 10 days left until Election Day, the latest nightly tracking by Nanos Research for CTV News and the Globe and Mail shows the Liberals continue to trend marginally higher than the Conservatives.

Respondents were asked "If a federal election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences? Support for the major parties stands at:

  • 34.0 per cent for the Liberals
  • 31.0 per cent for the Conservatives
  • 25.0 per cent for the NDP
  • and 4.2 per cent for the Greens nationally.

The margin of error on 1,077 decided voters is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

The Liberals also continue to have the highest level of accessible vote. Asked a series of independent questions as to whether they would consider voting for another party, 49.1 per cent said they would consider voting Liberal, while 42.6 per cent said they would consider voting NDP.

As well, 39.2 per cent said they would consider voting for the Conservatives, 24.4 per cent said they would consider voting for the Greens, and 31.2 per cent said they would consider voting for the Bloc Quebecois (Quebec only).

Poll methodology

A national dual-frame (land and cell) random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign using live agents. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample composed of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,087 decided voters is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Full poll at Nanos Research

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