Sixty-seven per cent of voters think it’s time for change, and 37 per cent think the Liberal Party is most likely to deliver that change, according to a new Nanos Research survey for CTV and The Globe and Mail.
When asked which federal party “could deliver the greatest change from the Conservative government that would be appealing to you personally,” the Liberals had a strong lead over the NDP:
- Liberals: 37 per cent
- NDP: 25 per cent
- Green: 9 per cent
- Bloc Quebecois: 2 per cent
- None: 20 per cent
- Unsure: 6 per cent
However, the Conservatives had a slight edge when respondents were asked which party was least likely to make governing mistakes -- although they were still within the margin of error of the Liberals.
The New Democrats, who have never formed a federal government, were in third.
Of the major parties, the Conservatives and Liberals were seen as the least likely to make governing mistakes. Seventeen per cent of those surveyed thought the NDP were the least likely to make mistakes governing.
Here are the results when respondents were asked, “Which federal party, if they were to form a government, would be least likely to make mistakes as they governed?”:
- Conservatives: 28 per cent
- Liberals: 26 per cent
- NDP: 17 per cent:
- Green: 2 per cent
- Bloc Quebecois: 2 per cent
- None: 17 per cent
- Unsure: 8 per cent
The New Democrats were at the top when voters were asked which party would be the most ethical in terms of how it governed, although the Liberals and Green Party were within the margin of error.
The Conservatives came in fourth:
- NDP: 22 per cent
- Green: 21 per cent
- Liberals: 20 per cent
- Conservatives: 17 per cent
- Bloc Quebecois: 1 per cent
- None: 11 per cent
- Unsure: 7 per cent
Meanwhile, the Conservatives and Liberals were tied on which party would offer the most stable government:
- Conservatives: 35 per cent
- Liberals: 35 per cent
- NDP: 15 per cent
- Green: 1 per cent
- Bloc Quebecois: 1 per cent
- None: 5 per cent
- Unsure: 8 per cent
While a majority of voters say they want change, there was no single, standout reason why. But the most popular responses were that the Conservatives had a bad track record, did not share the same values, or were anti-democratic.
For those who did not want change, most said they were satisfied with the current government. Others said there was no credible alternative, or the current government had the most experience.
It’s time for change because the current government…
- Has a bad track record: 25.9 per cent
- Does not share my values: 20.7 per cent
- Is anti-democratic and lacks transparency: 19.6 per cent
- Has been in power for too long: 10.1 per cent
- Has ignored climate change: 2.1 per cent
It’s not time for change because…
- I am satisfied with the current government: 40.4 per cent
- There are no credible alternatives: 20.4 per cent
- The current government can be trusted: 17 per cent
These observations are based on a RDD dual-frame (land- and cell-line) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians between October 3rd and 5th, 2015, as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for a survey of 1,000 respondents is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Full survey results at Nanos Research
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