Tight race for Canadians' preferred PM: Nanos poll
NDP Leader Tom Mulcair, Conservative Leader Stephen Harper, and Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau are shown in this composite image.
Published Thursday, September 10, 2015 2:00PM EDT
The latest nightly polling by Nanos Research for CTV and The Globe and Mail reveals it’s a tight race for which party leader voters would prefer as prime minister.
Voters were asked: “Of the current federal political party leaders, please rank your top two current local preferences for prime minister?” The latest numbers showed:
- 29 per cent would prefer Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau as PM
- 28 per cent chose NDP Leader Tom Mulcair
- 28 per cent chose Conservative Leader Stephen Harper
Five per cent of Canadians preferred May as PM and 10 per cent were unsure.
Second choice for PM
Among those who prefer Trudeau as PM, 59 per cent picked Mulcair as their second choice.
Among Canadians who prefer Mulcair as PM, 54 per cent said their second choice was Trudeau.
For those who prefer Harper as PM, 26 per cent identified Trudeau as their second choice and 24 per cent identified Mulcair as their second choice (41 per cent had no second choice).
Nanos Party Power Index – The NDP scored highest on the Index with 56 out of a possible 100 points with the Liberals scoring 53 points, the Conservatives 48 points, the Green Party 29 points and the BQ (QC only) 28 points.
The Index is a composite score based on a series of questions on ballot preferences and leadership preferences.
A national dual-frame (land and cell) random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign using live agents. Each evening, a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprising 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking, a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped.
The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
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