As has remained the story throughout the 2026 Quebec general election campaign, the Parti Québécois (PQ) look poised to take power on Monday, but one party is not making it an easy ride. Éric Duhaime’s Conservative Party of Quebec (CPQ) are ending strong, and may hurt PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s hopes of forming a majority government. A recent Leger poll showed the CPQ with a two per cent increase in support, which is within the margin of error but follows a trend in rising support for Duhaime’s party. The PQ were down one per cent (also within the margin of error). Leger chief insights officer Sebastien Dallaire said that though the recent poll does not show major changes, it follows a trend. The PQ has never increased its support (currently at 29 per cent), while the Conservatives have increased in each poll (currently at 20 per cent). Charles Milliard’s Liberal party (PLQ) is at 25 per cent, and Ruba Ghazal’s Quebec Solidaire is up two points at 11 per cent. The Coalition Avenir Quebec (CAQ), meanwhile, continues to see its support slip away, and Christine Fréchette’s party sits at 14 per cent of the popular vote, down from its high of 24 per cent on Aug. 31. The CAQ won 41 per cent of the popular vote in the 2022 election. Plamondon remains most popular As far as who Quebecers most want to be the next premier, St-Pierre Plamondon remains ahead at 25 per cent in the Leger poll. Milliard is second with 18 per cent, followed by Duhaime (14 per cent), Fréchette (12 per cent) and Ghazal (eight per cent). However, 23 per cent of respondents did not respond in the poll. Since April, Ghazal has seen the biggest increase in support from four to eight, followed by Duhaime, who has risen by three percentage points. Fréchette is the only leader who’s support has dropped (by four per cent). Plamondon (two per cent rise) and Milliard (one per cent) have remained more or less the same. The poll analyst site Quebec125.com says that the PQ could take between 52 and 77 seats with 14 ridings considered “toss-ups.”
