If the Liberals are weighing an election, how does the opposition stack up?
Toronto -
Speculation about a federal election is growing as Canada's federal party leaders hold campaign-style events across the country. On this week’s episode of Trend Line, Nanos Research's Nik Nanos breaks down where the opposition leaders stand in popular support.
Erin O'Toole
According to Nanos, the Conservative leader's path to power runs directly through Ontario. If O'Toole can't win the battleground ridings in Canada's most populous province, it is "hard to see a scenario" where he will be able to defeat Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
"They have to really wage war on the ground in Ontario in order to pick up support," said Nanos.
Jagmeet Singh
Canadians generally have a positive view of the NDP leader, but that didn't translate to additional support in the 2019 federal election. So what does Jagmeet Singh have to change to mount a serious challenge in the next campaign?
Nanos says Singh needs to recapture some "old-style NDP magic from Jack Layton" because the party may benefit from strategic voting, but warned the New Democrats will still face significant challenges in Quebec.
Annamie Paul
Canada's Green Party has been in the news for all the wrong reasons over the past month, and Nanos warns that Annamie Paul needs to quell infighting in the party, which has eroded public goodwill from her leadership campaign.
Nanos says that voting Green was a choice "three out of every 10 Canadians would consider," but the current infighting has "diminished the enthusiasm."
Yves-Francois Blanchet
The Bloc Quebecois made strong gains in the last federal election, and that support came primarily at the expense of the NDP. The challenge for Yves-Francois Blanchet in the next election will be to keep the Liberals at bay, with Nanos warning Trudeau's party could be extremely competitive in a number of races in Quebec.
"The Liberals have been eating the Bloc's lunch," warned Nanos. "They've been basically stealing a lot of the planks that naturally would be strengths for the Bloc."
Listen to the full episode of Trend Line with CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos wherever you get your podcasts or by clicking on the video at the top of this article.
IN DEPTH
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Prominent Canadians, political leaders, and family members remembered former prime minister and Progressive Conservative titan Brian Mulroney as an ambitious and compassionate nation-builder at his state funeral on Saturday.
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As Poilievre sides with Smith on trans restrictions, former Conservative candidate says he's 'playing with fire'
Siding with Alberta Premier Danielle Smith on her proposed restrictions on transgender youth, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre confirmed Wednesday that he is against trans and non-binary minors using puberty blockers.
TREND LINE
TREND LINE What Nanos' tracking tells us about Canadians' mood, party preference heading into 2024
Heading into a new year, Canadians aren't feeling overly optimistic about the direction the country is heading, with the number of voters indicating negative views about the federal government's performance at the highest in a decade, national tracking from Nanos Research shows.
Opinion
opinion
opinion Don Martin: The doctor Trudeau dumped has a prescription for better health care
Political columnist Don Martin sat down with former federal health minister Jane Philpott, who's on a crusade to help fix Canada's broken health care system, and who declined to take any shots at the prime minister who dumped her from caucus.
opinion
opinion Don Martin: Trudeau's seeking shelter from the housing storm he helped create
While Justin Trudeau's recent housing announcements are generally drawing praise from experts, political columnist Don Martin argues there shouldn’t be any standing ovations for a prime minister who helped caused the problem in the first place.
opinion
opinion Don Martin: Poilievre has the field to himself as he races across the country to big crowds
It came to pass on Thursday evening that the confidentially predictable failure of the Official Opposition non-confidence motion went down with 204 Liberal, BQ and NDP nays to 116 Conservative yeas. But forcing Canada into a federal election campaign was never the point.
opinion
opinion Don Martin: How a beer break may have doomed the carbon tax hike
When the Liberal government chopped a planned beer excise tax hike to two per cent from 4.5 per cent and froze future increases until after the next election, says political columnist Don Martin, it almost guaranteed a similar carbon tax move in the offing.
opinion
opinion Don Martin: Pierre Poilievre's road to apparent victory will soon start to get rougher
Pierre Poilievre and his Conservatives appear to be on cruise control to a rendezvous with the leader's prime ministerial ambition, but in his latest column for CTVNews.ca, Don Martin questions whether the Conservative leader may be peaking too soon.
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World
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Facing a Republican revolt, House Speaker Johnson pushes ahead on U.S. aid for Ukraine, allies
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2023 was a record year for wind installations as world ramps up clean energy, report says
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Australia's leader says French worker who intervened in stabbing attack can stay as long as he likes
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U.K. plan to phase out smoking for good passes first hurdle
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Deer family appears to accept B.C. man as one of their own
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Doorbell video shows family of black bears scared off by dog in Sudbury, Ont.
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Quebec teacher fired after taking leave to be on 'Survivor' reality TV series
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Young P.E.I. actor fulfills childhood dream to play Anne Shirley
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Vancouver
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Toronto
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Calgary
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Kingpins or go-betweens? Jurors hear closing arguments in Coutts blockade trial
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Ottawa
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Montreal
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Quebec's refusal to deliver English presentation to parents raises questions about language law
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Liberals plan to convert some Montreal office buildings into housing under federal budget
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Edmonton
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Edmonton Zone health staff sound alarm over capacity for babies in intensive care
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$440K in stolen property recovered by RCMP during rural crime investigation
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Pipeline involved in wildland fire, Yellowhead County says
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Atlantic
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500 Newfoundlanders wound up on the same cruise and it turned into a rocking kitchen party
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4 people charged in connection with N.S. man’s 2022 death
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Halifax Transit bus involved in three-vehicle crash in city’s downtown
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Winnipeg
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Teen hockey players arrested for sexual assault following hazing incident: Manitoba RCMP
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'It's troubling': Winnipeg sports memorabilia store target of three break-ins
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Regina
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HRF, Municipal Hail Insurance teaming up to bring latest technology to Regina General Hospital
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Yorkton woman left breathless after winning $100,000
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Kitchener
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Infrastructure, housing investments among budget highlights for local mayors
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Grand River Rocks time in new home is limited
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Saskatoon
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Sask. real estate company that lost investors' millions reaches settlement
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Guilty pleas entered in beating of mentally ill man on Saskatchewan farm
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Northern Ontario
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Northern Ont. driver missing after vehicle pulled into creek
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YMCA in the Sault ceasing operations next month
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London
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BREAKINGBREAKING Fatal crash on Highway 401 claims 1 life, eastbound lanes closed
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'It’s pretty messed up': Vaping and vandalism continue to impact high school students and staff across the region
It’s an issue affecting local high schools across the Thames Valley District School Board (TVDSB) and the London District Catholic School Board (LDCSB).
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'Not worth it': London, Ont. driver charged after travelling nearly 200 km/h on Highway 401
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Barrie
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Casino Rama adds new shows to its 2024 performance lineup
Two new shows are coming to Casino Rama's Entertainment Centre for fans of country music and 80s rock.
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Apartment fire linked to battery-operated vacuum cleaner
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BREAKING
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Windsor
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'Spring has been fantastic': Early start to road construction season in Essex County
County of Essex officials said construction season has arrived and in some cases started early this year thanks to the warm weather this spring.
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Landlord group to appeal court decision over residential rental bylaw
A group of landlords contesting the city’s new residential rental licensing bylaw is appealing a recent court decision.
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Vancouver Island
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Relocated seal returns to Greater Victoria after 'astonishing' 204-kilometre trek
A moulting seal who was relocated after drawing daily crowds of onlookers in Greater Victoria has made a surprise return, after what officials described as an 'astonishing' six-day journey.
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B.C. court upholds conviction after man argues crowds, claustrophobia led to fatal Costco encounter
British Columbia's highest court has upheld a manslaughter conviction against a Vancouver man who shoved a senior outside a busy Costco store, rejecting his argument that the trial judge failed to consider how his claustrophobia and fear of crowds led to the fatal altercation.
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Kelowna
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B.C. to add 240 complex-care housing units throughout province
British Columbia is planning to add 240 new units to its complex-care housing program, providing homes for people with mental-health and addictions challenges that overlap with other serious conditions.
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Evacuation of Kelowna, B.C., apartment near construction site extended for two weeks
More than 80 residents from a low-income apartment building in Kelowna, B.C., have learned they won't be able to return to their homes for at least another two weeks.
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2 men injured after 'road rage' incident with Dodge Ram driver, Kelowna RCMP say
Mounties are investigating a reported "road rage" incident in Kelowna, B.C., that left two men injured last week.
Lethbridge
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Phillips calls for funding to be reinstated to Lethbridge Elder Abuse Response Network
Lethbridge West MLA Shannon Phillips is calling on the province to reinstate funding for the Lethbridge Elder Abuse Response Network.
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Southern Alberta could be alive with the sound of rattlesnakes this weekend: expert
If you’re planning to head to the coulees this weekend to enjoy the nice weather, don’t forget to look down.
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Lethbridge police team up with campaign to urge drivers to slow down
With the weather starting to feel like spring is really here, more kids will likely be outside enjoying the sunshine and warm temperatures, which organizers of the Slow Your Roll campaign say is a perfect time to re-launch the campaign.
Sault Ste. Marie
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Sault College success spurs the growth of girls hockey
The Sault College Women’s Hockey team is less than a month removed from its second straight ACHA W2 National Championship.
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Sault bartender realizes her dream of business ownership
A long-time Sault Ste. Marie bartender is teaming up with a local restauranteur on a new business venture.
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YMCA in the Sault ceasing operations next month
The YMCA of Sault Ste. Marie is selling its building and ceasing operations in May.
N.L.
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500 Newfoundlanders wound up on the same cruise and it turned into a rocking kitchen party
A Celebrity Apex cruise to the Caribbean this month turned into a rocking Newfoundland kitchen party when hundreds of people from Canada's easternmost province happened to be booked on the same ship.
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Protest averted as Newfoundland and Labrador premier helps reach pricing deal on crab
A pricing agreement has been reached between crab fishers and seafood processors that will allow for Newfoundland and Labrador's annual crab fishery to get started.
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A fish harvester's protest threatens Newfoundland and Labrador's crab season -- again
Longliners across Newfoundland and Labrador are tied up once again, as a new protest by the province's fish harvesters threatens to derail the crab fishery for a second straight year.
