Liberals, Conservatives in dead heat with NDP trailing: Nanos poll
Nanos National Nightly Tracking for Sept. 30, 2015
Published Wednesday, September 30, 2015 6:53AM EDT
The latest nightly tracking by Nanos Research for CTV News and The Globe and Mail shows a dead heat between the Liberals and Conservatives for first place, with the NDP trailing.
Voters were asked: "If a federal election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences?"
The latest numbers show:
- 32.2 per cent supported the Liberals as their top choice
- 32.1 per cent picked the Conservatives as their top choice
- 26.3 per cent chose the NDP
The race for top choice in B.C. intensified in the latest poll, with support for the NDP and the Conservatives taking a dip, while the Liberals saw a surge in their numbers. In B.C., support for the NDP was at 31.9 per cent, with the Conservatives in second at 30.4 per cent and the Liberals in third with 29.5 per cent. The Liberals gained 6.6 percentage points over Tuesday's numbers, while the NDP dropped 4.8 per cent and the Conservatives dipped by 2.8 per cent.
The NDP continued to see their lead soften in Quebec, where the Liberals and the Bloc Quebecois each made modest gains. The Bloc Quebecois have now passed the Conservatives as the third-most preferred choice for voters in Quebec.
The Liberals hold a marginal advantage over the Conservatives in Ontario, with the NDP trailing in third.
The Conservatives remain the top choice in the Prairies, and the Liberals hold a comfortable lead in Atlantic Canada.
A national dual-frame (land and cell) random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign using live agents. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample composed of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for 1,066 decided voters is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Full poll at Nanos Research
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